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Can you predict week 1 North American Doom 3 sales?

  • Izuno
  • August 4, 2004 at 5:59 PM
  • Izuno
    • August 4, 2004 at 5:59 PM
    • #1

    How many copies will Doom 3 sell in North America in its first week? 0

    1. 0 to 49,999 (0) 0%
    2. 50,000 to 99,999 (0) 0%
    3. 100,000 to 149,999 (0) 0%
    4. 150,000 to 199,999 (0) 0%
    5. 200,000 or more (0) 0%

    I can hopefully get week 1 sales results from TRSTS (NPD Group's game sales database) by early next week. It might be raw scantron data, but the algorithm for estimated total market is pretty good. Only Activision will have the exact numbers.

  • OL
    • August 4, 2004 at 6:18 PM
    • #2

    i voted at random because i dont know marketing, but im sure itll sell assloads

  • Mazy
    • August 4, 2004 at 6:23 PM
    • #3

    200.000, I think its gonna sell ALOT

  • zaphod
    • August 4, 2004 at 6:28 PM
    • #4

    now can you predict the % of those sales that go back to the developers stuck in digital serfdom, and the % that go to some bumfuck in a suit who's only contribution to the game was reading 8 emails and attending a meeting, so he can buy a new boat. God bless america and capitalism to make this RIAA-esque industry possible.

    sorry, I'm a little hung over and ill-tempered this morning.

  • mikezilla
    • August 4, 2004 at 7:07 PM
    • #5

    127,000

  • Izuno
    • August 4, 2004 at 7:25 PM
    • #6
    Quote from OL

    i voted at random because i dont know marketing, but im sure itll sell assloads

    Some sample data for the North American market only. It is estimated at 100% of the NA market and accurate to +/- 10%.

    Title-------------------Date Launched----------------Life-to-date Units Sold

    Battlefield Vietnam-----March 2004-----------------------273,000

    UT2k4-------------------March 2004-----------------------185,000

    City of Heroes----------April 2004-------------------------169,000

    Far Cry------------------March 2004-----------------------146,000

    UT2k4 Spec. Ed. -------March 2004------------------------57,000

    Painkiller----------------April 2004--------------------------43,000

  • mikezilla
    • August 4, 2004 at 7:32 PM
    • #7
    Quote from Zaphod

    now can you predict the % of those sales that go back to the developers stuck in digital serfdom, and the % that go to some bumfuck in a suit who's only contribution to the game was reading 8 emails and attending a meeting, so he can buy a new boat. God bless america and capitalism to make this RIAA-esque industry possible.sorry, I'm a little hung over and ill-tempered this morning.

    I think id gets way more than a big cut... probably like 40% of all sales.

  • OL
    • August 4, 2004 at 7:35 PM
    • #8

    that many people bought city of heros, an mmorpg?

    i wonder how many are subscribed

  • zaphod
    • August 4, 2004 at 7:38 PM
    • #9

    ID is one of the lucky few developers that worked thier way up to becoming an established name that can call thier own shots without having to be subserviant to publishers, I wouldn't consider their situation to be on par with the average game developer.

    I realize this sounds a bit strong, but it's something I feel very strongly about. Anyways I totally hijacked your thread zuno, I'm sorry. Feel free to ignore my rant.

  • FrieChamp
    • August 4, 2004 at 8:20 PM
    • #10

    Was about to say the same Ol.

    Quote

    City of Heroes----------April 2004-------------------------169,000 Far Cry------------------March 2004-----------------------146,000

    Quite suprising.

  • Izuno
    • August 4, 2004 at 11:31 PM
    • #11
    Quote from Zaphod

    ID is one of the lucky few developers that worked thier way up to becoming an established name that can call thier own shots without having to be subserviant to publishers, I wouldn't consider their situation to be on par with the average game developer.I realize this sounds a bit strong, but it's something I feel very strongly about. Anyways I totally hijacked your thread zuno, I'm sorry. Feel free to ignore my rant.

    no worries, Zaph. in one way or another i've been on both sides so i know how much bullshit goes around.

    id does have a very very favorable relationship. technically activision is the "distributor" and not the "publisher". In other words, id's cut of the profits is much larger than activision's other studios on their other brands. but that's because id/carmack have incredible brand recognition and clout.

    back on topic.....erm...thanks for replying!!! can't wait to see the numbers myself.

  • Tequila
    • August 5, 2004 at 3:45 AM
    • #12

    200,000 at least. It'll be selling like hot cakes, at least, it deserves to be.

  • Bic-B@ll
    • August 5, 2004 at 6:22 AM
    • #13

    11 billion

  • KidDynamite
    • August 5, 2004 at 5:06 PM
    • #14

    it will sell 199,999.5

  • Mojo
    • August 5, 2004 at 5:09 PM
    • #15

    well I didn't pick it up, or will, just not excited about it

    [/troll]

  • DD
    • August 5, 2004 at 9:08 PM
    • #16

    Izuno could you get sales information on like the top 10 or 20 selling games of all time? I tried to find one via good the other day and most lists confirm SMB, Tetris, SMB3 as the top 3. Confirm it plz

  • Izuno
    • August 5, 2004 at 10:01 PM
    • #17
    Quote from DD

    Izuno could you get sales information on like the top 10 or 20 selling games of all time? I tried to find one via good the other day and most lists confirm SMB, Tetris, SMB3 as the top 3. Confirm it plz

    Erm...yeah i can get that...but it's a pain with NPD's system because it doesn't aggregate over all years, plus some products, such as Half-Life have multiple skus and it doesn't know how to group them. So don't expect anything soon (honestly I wouldn't have time to crank that out but I will eventually need that for some other competitive analysis.

  • Zazi
    • August 5, 2004 at 11:38 PM
    • #18

    Doom 3 will definately sell more than 200 thousand units. Our entire Best Buy region sold out of copies of Doom 3 by five PM, soooo... that's quite a shitload. Also, there are waiting lists and such for the next shipments to come in and blah... yeah.

  • Izuno
    • August 6, 2004 at 5:29 AM
    • #19
    Quote from Zazi

    Doom 3 will definately sell more than 200 thousand units. Our entire Best Buy region sold out of copies of Doom 3 by five PM, soooo... that's quite a shitload. Also, there are waiting lists and such for the next shipments to come in and blah... yeah.

    keep in mind the poll is for first week sales.

  • Izuno
    • August 12, 2004 at 10:18 PM
    • #20

    hey guys...sales data through NPD aren't available yet. it might actually be a another week or two. as soon as i get my hands on it i'll let you know.

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